There has been a massive split within the Trinamool Congress party. Twenty rebel Trinamool Congress MPs have expressed their desire to leave Mamata Banerjee and join the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA). Trinamool Congress MP Kakali Ghosh Dastidar has also sent a letter to Lok Sabha Speaker Om Birla in this regard. Mamata Banerjee once left the NDA allianceDisgruntled MPs from his party are now ready to side with the coalition if all goes well. If the Speaker of the Lok Sabha accepts the letter, it is only a matter of time before the number of parties in the Lok Sabha changes.
In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, BJP alone won more than 300 seats, but in 2024, the picture will change completely.‘L. This time BJP could not cross 300 even with its allies. Currently, Modi and Shah forces have to rely heavily on Nitish Kumar and Chandrababu Naidu. This did not pose any problem to the survival of the central government but the BJP faced major challenges in passing various bills. In particular, the Constitution Amendment Bill requires the support of two-thirds of the members to be passed in the Lok Sabha, which neither the BJP nor the NDA currently have. However, political analysts believe that the NDA can move towards that goal with the support of 20 rebel MPs from the Trinamool Congress.
The NDA, along with the Telugu Desam Party and Eknath Sinha-led Shiv Sena, had 292 seats in the Lok Sabha. So according to political calculation, 20 MPs of Trinamool Congress will be added“The NDA will be able to cross the 300 mark and have 312 seats. However, even with this number, the NDA cannot get the two-thirds majority required to amend the Constitution. Important constitutional amendments like the Women’s Protection Bill or One Country One Election require the support of at least 362 MPs. The BJP’s numbers in the Lok Sabha are still likely to pass.
BJP alone won 240 seats in the last Lok Sabha elections. Their alliance also includes 16 members of the Telugu Desam Party12 from JDU, 7 from Shiv Sena Sinha group, 5 from LJP Rambilas group, 2 from JDS, 2 from Jan Sena Party, 2 from RLD, 1 from NCP Ajit Pawar, 1 from AAP, 1 from Assam Constituent Assembly, 1 from AJSU, 1 from Hindustan Awam Morcha and one MP from CIC Morcha. NDA has won 292 seats so far. With the addition of 20 MPs, the number of Trinamool Congress MPs will be 312. There are rumors that the BJP may bring several MPs from other parties to finish the campaign in the coming days. The ruling party is said to be eyeing MPs from Congress, Uddhav Thackeray group and Sharad Pawar group. There are even speculations among Trinamool Congress MPs in the Rajya Sabha that such political games may be played.